Three funding scenarios were analyzed in the 2020 update. Note that all amounts are reported in constant 2020 dollars:

1) Existing funding levels ($2.43 billion/year) – This is the current funding level and includes SB 1 together with cost savings from paving technologies. For the first time in 10 years, cities and counties will see an initial 1-point increase. However, due to higher construction costs, the PCI will drop to 59 by 2030 and the percent of good pavements will decrease to 48.7 percent (see table).

2) Maintain PCI at 66 ($3.84 billion/year) – To maintain the current PCI at 66, additional funding $3.84 billion/year) will be needed, and the percent of good pavements will increase to almost three-quarters of the network.

3) Funding required to reach BMP ($7.89 billion/year) – The optimal scenario is to bring all pavements into a state of good repair so that BMPs can prevail. To reach BMP levels (PCI in high 80s), $78.9 billion would be needed over the next 10 years. After that, it would only require $3 billion a year to maintain the pavements at that level.

Scenarios Annual Budget ($B) PCI in 2030 Condition Category % Pavements in Poor/Failed
Condition
% Pavements in Good Condition
Current Condition (2020) 66 At Risk 23.2% 55.0%
1. Existing Funding $2.43 59 At Risk 31.1% 48.7%
2. Maintain PCI at 66 $3.84 66 At Risk 20.7% 74.7%
3. Best Management Practices $7.89 87 Excellent 0.0% 100.0%

 

Needs ($B) 2020
Transportation Asset 2012 2014 2016 2018 Needs Funding Shortfall
Pavement $72.4 $72.7 $70.0 $61.7 $76.0 $38.4 $(37.6)
Essential Components $30.5 $31.0 $32.1 $34.1 $35.5 $13.4 $(22.1)
Bridges $4.3 $4.3 $4.6 $5.5 $7.2 $2.9 $(4.3)
Totals $102.8 $107.2 $106.7 $101.3 $118.7 $54.7 $(64.0)